BCREA ECONOMICS NOW
US real GDP grew at a very healthy 3.5 per cent annual rate
in the third quarter, following even more
robust growth of 4.6 per cent in the
second quarter. Growth was led higher by
strong consumer spending, exports, fixed investment and government spending.
Growth in the US economy has been sharply higher over the
past six months, averaging over 4 per cent at an annual rate. While inflation remains muted, the US labour
market is picking-up and job growth has been trending higher. The US Federal
Reserve announced the end of its quantitative easing program yesterday, and
while it noted that interest rates would not rise for a considerable time, a
continuation of strong growth likely means the Fed will act on rates as early
as mid-2015. If so, long-term rates in both the US and Canada should rise from
current lows, bringing mortgage rates with them.
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